Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.203835 0.231982 0.262185 0.296955 0.335827 0.377895 0.426815
2025-11-23 0.163927 0.201059 0.243573 0.295672 0.357609 0.428689 0.516231
2025-11-30 0.139769 0.182854 0.235001 0.302375 0.386684 0.488236 0.619302
2025-12-07 0.118739 0.164708 0.223200 0.302416 0.406132 0.536448 0.711585
2025-12-14 0.102395 0.149856 0.213056 0.302361 0.424100 0.582877 0.803974
2025-12-21 0.089571 0.137746 0.204636 0.302881 0.441777 0.629088 0.898284
2025-12-28 0.080429 0.129454 0.200179 0.307768 0.464946 0.683342 1.006132
2026-01-04 0.073569 0.123527 0.198190 0.315481 0.492027 0.744046 1.126035
2026-01-11 0.066455 0.116247 0.193236 0.317963 0.511104 0.793938 1.232902
2026-01-18 0.061194 0.111223 0.191068 0.324159 0.535696 0.852777 1.355603
2026-01-25 0.057074 0.107552 0.190547 0.332615 0.563952 0.918258 1.491345
2026-02-01 0.051663 0.101006 0.184622 0.331639 0.576918 0.960731 1.593871
2026-02-08 0.046672 0.094776 0.178856 0.330787 0.590579 1.006007 1.704968
2026-02-15 0.042151 0.088864 0.173034 0.329247 0.602825 1.049560 1.815625
2026-02-22 0.039439 0.086047 0.172389 0.336560 0.630338 1.119159 1.971756
2026-03-01 0.036009 0.081399 0.167922 0.336566 0.645051 1.168222 2.096537
2026-03-08 0.032940 0.077100 0.163658 0.336484 0.659403 1.217195 2.223374
2026-03-15 0.030270 0.073296 0.159950 0.337044 0.674765 1.268466 2.356385
2026-03-22 0.028379 0.070938 0.158844 0.342418 0.699159 1.336514 2.521373
2026-03-29 0.026962 0.069456 0.159345 0.350905 0.729788 1.416971 2.711665
2026-04-05 0.025118 0.066769 0.157084 0.353635 0.749509 1.478688 2.871439
2026-04-12 0.023788 0.065128 0.156867 0.360452 0.777456 1.556596 3.063656
2026-04-19 0.022760 0.064086 0.157834 0.369755 0.810766 1.645872 3.280362